Thursday, April 29, 2010

Salvaging my month and a dream session.



After the first few days of this month, I was starting to think that I might have my first losing month in over 2 years. Despite the rough time I had ending last month and beginning this one, I've managed to turn it around and am probably gonna hit right around where i have been each month. Have been running extremely hot at the 5.30s. Havent played anything else on FT, but I've played a few 9 and 6 max standard turbos on stars. Done ok in those. It's hard readjusting to Stars software and layout, and also hard to sit through a 40 minutes sng when I'm used to ones ending in 9 minutes.

Brag posts are pretty lame, but I just experienced something pretty nuts I had to put on paper (so to speak). I was gonna just do a quick session of 7 and ran about as good as is humanly possible. I won 5 of them and got 2nd in the other too. $82 in 15 minutes is not too shabby. It was almost completely luck and happens once every 1000 sessions so I'm not bragging that I did it as much as it happened to me and thought it was kinda cool.



I'd love to put in 6 hour days the last 3 days this month and reach 100 hours, but i dont see that happening with the weekend coming up. Prob 4 each will be more realistic. Gonna make iron again this month which is my 4th in a row so my bonus should be around 50 bucks and i have around 30 bucks of ftps to spend as well. Really feeling a lot better ending this month than when I started it.

Friday, April 23, 2010

A reminder to never whine about variance again.



This is my graph from the last 6.5 hours. I just wanted to have a photo record of this so next time I'm running like shit, I can look at it and remember that it goes both ways. I obviously ran way over EV, but it's also interesting to see that during a hot streak, my redline hourly is more than twice than my average. Guess that goes to show that lucky streaks arent made by just doing well in allin situations, but also getting good starting hands.

I still only have about 1k of the 5.30s under my belt, but Im really thinking that my hourly from them is gonna be better than it was from the 7.50s. They seem to have the softness of the old 3.80 except with a bigger buyin and the same rake. I kinda want to give the 10s a shot, but they seem really regged up and if I can pull $16/hour from the 5s, why move up.

Sunday, April 18, 2010

After rock bottom, there's nowhere to go but up




(First image is total MTD. Bottom is the new $5.30 6max st and the one on the right is my results from the $3.8 9man sts.)

Started off this month pretty much like I ended last month. Dropped around 200 in the first few days. I dropped back down to the 3.80s to regroup and considered switching formats. Luckily I snapped out of it and am now positive for the month and have made back what I lost in that sick downswing last month. I know honestly believe that one needs 10k games in the super turbos before he can have any real idea of what the swings are gonna be like.

I feel like I'm finally getting good at using Wiz and HEM to analyze my games. I think some of my downswing might have been caused by misusing Wiz and shoving too wide in some spots. I've watched a lot of vids on Stox and CR and they have really showed me the best way to review your play after a session, along with a ton of other pointers.

I finally got tired of hooking my laptop up to a monitor so I shelled out 600 bucks for a new one. I'm such a nit and hate paying retail for anything but I didnt feel like buying on ebay and waiting for shipping or cruising craigslist and dealing with all that bs. I got a toshiba which has the new intel processor and a shitload of ram. I'm now able to play as many tables as I want on tilt wo freezing which is really gonna help my hourly.

Just yesterday ft changed their superturbos. Instead of the 1 3 7 and 14 dollar buyin levels, they now have 1 2 5 10 20 etc. They also reduced the rake on them by quite a bit. I've only played the 5.30s, both because Im still mentally recovering from my last downswing and dont think i could handle a 400 drop right now, and its looking like the 14 regs are dropping down to the 10s instead of moving up to the 20s. I'm fine with the 5s for now, both because they are insanely soft and because I am running like god. I played some of the 9man sup turbos before the buyins changed and did fairly well. Im gonna try to mix some more of those in but for now Im prob just gonna focus on the 6mans.

I know I shouldnt complain about lower rake, but it is making it harder to get the 200 ftps I need a day for the rest of the month to keep my ironman status. It's prob a good thing since its forcing me to play at least 3 hours, but Im a lazy fuck so of course I dont like it.

Tuesday, March 30, 2010

What a shitty way to end the month (March profit $1072)




I guess I finally ran into the crazy variance that everyone on 2+2 told me I'd see from super turbos. Started off wining 200+ running way above EV. But that was followed buy a 400+ downswing and even though I made 100 of it back, I lost it right back. Really disappointed to end the month that way and also disappointed I only put in 88 hours. I made iron status today so I'm gonna play on stars for the next few days. This past week really has me questioning whether I should stick with super turbos. I feel like I played the same this week as I had before, but my redline and green line both took nosedives. Hopefully a couple of days away do me some good.

Sunday, March 21, 2010

Getting used to the WIZ




This week was really streaky. As you can see by my graph, not only was my profit up and down, but also was my redline. Until this week, my redline had remained steadily positve despite the ups and downs of my greenline. I don't know if the change in my redline this week was just the natural variance that is inherent in super turbos, or if the new shoving and calling ranges that wiz is saying is profitable are actually not as profitable. Wiz is telling me to shove almost any two cards in bvb situations at the 15/30 lvl. I'm starting to think that while shoving these hands may be more profitable than folding them, limping and playing postflop might be more profitable than either. Once I get a bigger sample of hands saved in HEM, I'm going to see exactly what range of hands opponents are calling with in that situation and adjust my shoving ranges accordingly.

I won the most profit bet against the dude I was competeting against; kind of. With one day left I was ahead about $180 to -$60. Dude then emails me saying a freak accident caused his monitor to break and he asked if he could have any extra day in the future to finish it. I told him he could but I see hes played another 20 games since then and has logged on to 2+2 but hasnt told me when he is gonna play his last day. It's starting to look like he knew he was gonna lose and is just trying to get out of paying me the 50 bucks he will/does owe me. Whatever, I guess thats what I get for not escrowing this bet vs a dude with only 12 posts. Knowing that the rep his FT sn will be on every forum and stat tracking site is worth 50 bucks to me. BTW, his tilt sn is darkai il and his 2+2 sn is darkAI.

I only put in 20 hours last week. St Patricks day and the beginning of the NCAA tournament and my brothers coming into town, along with my general laziness, is prob the reason for that. My hourly was also pretty shitty but luckily I invested in a couple guys who did really well in some sets of 45mans which added an extra 70bucks to my weekly profit. Hopefully I can put in 30 hours this week and another 5 reviewing my games in HEM and WIZ.

Sunday, March 14, 2010

What goes up...




(First graph is mtd and second graph is this past week.)

I gave back all the AIEV i was up last week. Put in 25 hours but barely made 10/hour even after rakeback. Ran pretty shitty after I got it in obv, and also feel like I was getting coolered a bunch but theres no way to check that and I'm sure most players feel that way all the time so whatever. Really happy with the volume I put in, just wish I could have had some better results.

Finally ponied up the hundred bucks and bought sngwiz. Definitely think it's gonna end up being well worth it. I think the ranges it gives are wrong and that might have me playing a little more agro than I should right now, but it is really helping me look at the game in an entire new way.

Have a prop bet with a twoplustwo member next week. Most profit in a 3day period, him playing the 3.8 9 mans and me playing the 6man 7.8s. Were multiplying his profits and rb by 1.725 to level the playing field. From his stats he seems to be a good player and able to grind so it should be a good little competition and good motivation to get some 10 hour days in. The bet is only for 50 bucks so even if I lose the bet, I'm sure Ill win in that I'll have made well more than I would have this week sans the motivation.

Saturday, March 6, 2010

The variance of super turbos



(Graph for this week. For those that dont know, green line is profit, redline is what profit would be if youd had nuetral luck in your allins, and blue line is real profit plus bonuses and rb. You can probably tell from the graph when I felt like I was the best player in the world and when i wanted to hang myself.)

What a roller coaster week. I started off running hotter than the sun. After being below EV for the few weeks I'd had HEM, I didnt know it was possible to run good. Then after the first few days this week I was like 300 bucks over EV. Of course the hammer had to drop and I lost about 250 in a couple hours. Made some of it back and Im still running decently over EV for the week, so I cant complain.

Only put in 16 hours so far this week. I've discovered its really hard to grind the hours regardless of how Im running. When I'm crushing the games, I dont want to put in more time because I've already made what I need for the week. When I'm running like shit, I dont want to play because I dont want to take any more beats. Maybe if I just run normal I'll be motivated to grind. Going to watch the Duke/UNC game with some friends and then going out tonight so Ill be surprised if I end up putting in more than 20 hours this week.

Through a FT promotion, I have a free membership to cardrunners. Their collection of sng vids is pretty small, but ive watched a few. Has given me some good insights and made me realize that I need to shell out the money and buy sngwiz.